New Street Research Estimates Nvidia's China Revenue Exposure Amid Regulatory Concerns

New Street Research has released an analysis suggesting that up to 10% of Nvidia's total revenue—estimated between $37 billion and $47 billion for fiscal year 2027—is linked to China. This exposure includes direct legal sales to China and Hong Kong, as well as indirect channels where products are booked outside the region but diverted to Chinese entities. The report follows reports regarding CEO Jensen Huang's potential connection to a suspected Chinese spy and ongoing U.S. export controls on high-tech AI chips. While Nvidia maintains it is committed to complying with all U.S. laws, concerns over regulatory crackdowns have contributed to a 5% decline in the company's stock price during regular trading. As a central pillar of the global artificial intelligence infrastructure, Nvidia's exposure to China presents significant geopolitical and compliance risks that could impact its long-term revenue projections and broader AI supply chain stability.

By Tobias Burns · CNBC ·

New Street Research Estimates Nvidia's China Revenue Exposure Amid Regulatory Concerns

Tickers: $NVDA

Topics: AI Chips China Relations Corporate Investigation Export Controls Geopolitical Risk

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