VIX Surge Following Market Selloff May Signal Long-Term Buying Opportunity

A significant market selloff recently triggered a massive spike in the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), which jumped over 11 points from 16.6 to 28.2. This move represents the largest single-day increase for the index since April 2025. While the immediate aftermath of such volatility can be disruptive—with the S&P 500 seeing a slightly negative average return in the first month—historical data suggests a recovery trend. According to analysis from Bespoke Investment Group, when the VIX surges at least five points from below 20, the S&P 500 has historically posted positive returns 68% of the time after three months and 79% of the time after six months. The recent volatility was particularly acute in the technology sector, with the Nasdaq 100 experiencing its worst day since March 2020 and semiconductor stocks facing intense selling pressure.

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