Kalshi Traders Increase Odds of Anthropic's IPO This Year
The probability that AI company Anthropic will announce an initial public offering (IPO) this year has increased significantly according to Kalshi traders. The chances rose from 4.7% on September 28 to 16% by late Wednesday, with over a 60% chance of the IPO being announced before December and nearly 80% likelihood it will happen before January. Anthropic filed its IPO prospectus confidentially in June but warned investors that its AI models pose significant risks, including potential catastrophic or existential threats to humanity. Anthropic is seeking a $2 trillion valuation for its IPO and plans to invest over $500 billion on cloud computing infrastructure next year. CEO Dario Amodei has also called for slowing the development of advanced AI models due to safety concerns, which have been echoed by leaders at OpenAI and SpaceX. Despite these warnings, market sentiment suggests a high probability that Anthropic will proceed with its IPO in 2026.
Topics: AI Initial Public Offering (IPO) Investor Warnings Market Sentiment