Crude Oil Prices Rise Amid Escalating US-Iran Tensions and Middle East Conflicts
On Wednesday, October WTI crude oil closed up 3.25% to a three-month high amid growing concerns over escalating hostilities in the Middle East threatening global oil supplies. The U.S. destroyed five Iranian tankers carrying crude after Iran attempted attacks on two U.S. Navy ships with ballistic missiles. In response, Iran fired missiles at a U.S. air base in Jordan and warned of further threats to shipping in the Persian Gulf. The conflict has also impacted Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure as Yemen’s Houthi rebels attacked energy facilities, including the Jazan refinery, which had already been damaged earlier this year. Vitol Group reported that global oil markets are tightening due to a loss of about 2 million barrels per day (bpd) from Middle East exports and an additional 2 million bpd reduction in Russian crude production caused by Ukraine’s drone attacks. The International Energy Agency warned that the supply deficit will worsen, with inventories expected to fall at twice the previously estimated rate due to ongoing disruptions. Meanwhile, OPEC increased its September oil output target by 188,000 bpd.

Topics: crude oil Middle East conflict oil supply disruption