Prediction Market Traders Increase Odds of Surprise Fed Rate Hike

Prediction market traders have increased the likelihood of a surprise rate hike by the Federal Reserve ahead of its two-day meeting. On Polymarket, the probability for no change dropped from 82.15% to 73.25%, while the chance of a 25-basis-point increase rose sharply to 26.65%. Similar trends were observed on Myriad, where

By Jose Antonio Lanz Mon, July 27, 2026 at 11:43 PM GMT+3 2 min read · Yahoo Finance ·

Prediction Market Traders Increase Odds of Surprise Fed Rate Hike

Topics: Fed funds futures Federal Reserve interest rates prediction markets

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