Kalshi Traders Increase Odds of U.S.-Iran Nuclear Deal by 2027
Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi now assign a 58% probability of a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal being reached by 2027, following an Axios report suggesting the two countries are close to a framework for negotiations. While the odds have increased from pre-Axios levels, they remain below the 70% probability seen in mid-April.
Topics: Middle East conflict prediction markets U.S.-Iran nuclear deal